You too can convince the BBC these things will become extinct, with increasing data, a logistic curve, and arXiv

March 31, 2011 § Leave a comment

Religion in nine countries!

Heterosexuality!

Non-Hispanic people in the US!

Non-Asian people in the US!

People who don’t live in Houston!

(The model in the paper is actually interesting, although it has no analysis of error and fits using —-ing least squares. Less sarcastic analysis in the comments here.)

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Nate Silver on overfitting

March 29, 2011 § Leave a comment

A very clear explanation for the lay. (I still think Silver moderately overfits as a matter of course, though.)

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